Dune
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.27
0.42 gems
Advertised RTP
88.81%
EV $0.24 from 5 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.90%
43.9K openings, odds method
Variance
6.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 44.8K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSG 08 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · Consumer Grade | 10.0% | $2.33 3.58 gems | 96.0% | 4,506 | 4480.0 | 1.01× |
| PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer | 20.0% | $0.02 0.03 gems | 1.6% | 8,889 | 8959.9 | 0.99× |
| MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer | 20.0% | $0.01 0.02 gems | 1.1% | 8,919 | 8959.9 | 1.00× |
| Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer | 20.0% | <$0.01 0.01 gems | 0.5% | 8,976 | 8959.9 | 1.00× |
| P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer | 30.0% | <$0.01 0.01 gems | 0.8% | 13,510 | 13440.3 | 1.01× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.81%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $0.27 | 88.81% | 5 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedConsumer Grade 10.0%consumer 90.0%best hit —