E-Girl
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$26.88
41.35 gems
Advertised RTP
89.98%
EV $24.18 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.80%
605 openings, odds method
Variance
3.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 643 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 100 | $348 536 gems | 14.4% | 7 | 6.4 | 1.09× |
| M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New)weapon · epic | 1 in 33 | $132 202 gems | 16.3% | 19 | 19.3 | 0.98× |
| AWP | Crakow! (Factory New)weapon · rare | 1 in 33 | $131 202 gems | 16.3% | 14 | 19.3 | 0.73× |
| USP-S | Target Acquired (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 33 | $111 172 gems | 13.8% | 29 | 19.3 | 1.50× |
| Galil AR | Phoenix Blacklight (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical | 1 in 20 | $30.58 47.05 gems | 6.3% | 33 | 32.1 | 1.03× |
| SCAR-20 | Splash Jam (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified | 1 in 20 | $21.61 33.25 gems | 4.5% | 29 | 32.1 | 0.90× |
| Sticker | Dystopian Gaze (Lenticular)sticker · Ancient | 10.0% | $15.26 23.47 gems | 6.3% | 56 | 64.3 | 0.87× |
| StatTrak™ MP9 | Mount Fuji (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted | 20.0% | $10.20 15.69 gems | 8.4% | 138 | 128.6 | 1.07× |
| StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified | 20.0% | $8.68 13.36 gems | 7.2% | 120 | 128.6 | 0.93× |
| Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New)weapon · Legendary | 30.0% | $5.22 8.03 gems | 6.5% | 198 | 192.9 | 1.03× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 12 Nov, 00:07 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$26.8841.35 gems$8.6813.36 gems0.32x
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$26.8841.35 gems$8.6813.36 gems0.32x
StatTrak™ MP9 | Mount Fuji (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$26.8841.35 gems$10.2015.69 gems0.38x
StatTrak™ MP9 | Mount Fuji (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$26.8841.35 gems$10.2015.69 gems0.38x
StatTrak™ MP9 | Mount Fuji (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$26.8841.35 gems$10.2015.69 gems0.38x
StatTrak™ MP9 | Mount Fuji (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$26.8841.35 gems$10.2015.69 gems0.38x
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classifiedk$26.8841.35 gems$8.6813.36 gems0.32x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.98%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $26.88 | 89.98% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 1.0%epic 3.0%rare 3.0%classified 8.0%Mythical 5.0%Ancient 10.0%restricted 20.0%Classified 20.0%Legendary 30.0%best hit —