easy 10 per cent

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$30.69
47.22 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
409.07%
18 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
18 openings · below min
30 days
18 openings · below min
since tracking started
18 openings · below min
-0.5%451.7%904.0%

Small sample. 18 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d18409.07%±494.2—sample
30d18409.07%±494.2—sample
All18409.07%±494.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · Immortal$30.6947.22 gems$1,1861,825 gems38.65x
★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covert$30.6947.22 gems$8291,276 gems27.02x

Latest dropsnewest first

★ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert$30.6947.22 gems$58.0789.34 gems1.89x
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New)weapon · Rare$30.6947.22 gems$0.110.17 gems0.00x
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New)weapon · Rare$30.6947.22 gems$0.110.17 gems0.00x
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New)weapon · Rare$30.6947.22 gems$0.110.17 gems0.00x
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New)weapon · Rare$30.6947.22 gems$0.110.17 gems0.00x
★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · Immortal$30.6947.22 gems$1,1861,825 gems38.65x
★ Shadow Daggers | Lore (Well-Worn)knife · Covert$30.6947.22 gems$70.55109 gems2.30x
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New)weapon · Rare$30.6947.22 gems$0.110.17 gems0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,186 (38.65x)