Elven Relics
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$32.29
49.68 gems
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $29.06 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.57%
1,856 openings, odds method
Variance
9.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 33
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,874 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert | 1 in 100 | $910 1,400 gems | 31.3% | 19 | 18.7 | 1.01× |
| M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 100 | $372 572 gems | 12.8% | 18 | 18.7 | 0.96× |
| M4A4 | The Emperor (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 100 | $241 371 gems | 8.3% | 29 | 18.7 | 1.55× |
| AWP | Graphite (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 100 | $137 210 gems | 4.7% | 14 | 18.7 | 0.75× |
| AK-47 | The Empress (Field-Tested)weapon · covert | 1 in 100 | $58.34 89.76 gems | 2.0% | 19 | 18.7 | 1.01× |
| Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 20.0% | $30.38 46.74 gems | 20.9% | 348 | 374.8 | 0.93× |
| Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Well-Worn)weapon · classified | 25.0% | $13.42 20.65 gems | 11.5% | 475 | 468.5 | 1.01× |
| Glock-18 | Ramese's Reach (Well-Worn)weapon · violet | 25.0% | $8.40 12.92 gems | 7.2% | 488 | 468.5 | 1.04× |
| UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 25.0% | $1.42 2.18 gems | 1.2% | 464 | 468.5 | 0.99× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Glock-18 | Ramese's Reach (Well-Worn)weapon · violeteverythingroi$32.2949.68 gems$8.4012.92 gems0.26x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $32.29 | 89.99% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 4.0%classified 26.0%restricted 45.0%violet 25.0%best hit $910 (28.18x)