Elysium
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$6,982.19
10,742 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $6,283.91 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
2.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
19.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
81.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014other | 19.0% | $26K 40,000 gems | 78.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby | 19.0% | $6,793 10,450 gems | 20.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 11 | $439 676 gems | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 11 | $61.13 94.04 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| USP-S | Orion (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 11 | $40.38 62.12 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Galil AR | Phoenix Blacklight (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 11 | $25.70 39.54 gems | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 11 | $24.81 38.17 gems | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Glock-18 | Sacrifice (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 17.0% | $1.16 1.79 gems | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
No history yet
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $6,982 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 19.0%covert 37.0%classified 18.0%restricted 9.0%mil spec 17.0%