Eye of the Dragon
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$17,408.13
26,782 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $15,667.17 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
1.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
30.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
50.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · covert | 1 in 50 | $81.5K 125,320 gems | 10.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary | 1 in 13 | $34.1K 52,490 gems | 17.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary | 10.0% | $32.5K 50,000 gems | 20.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · covert | 10.0% | $26.2K 40,275 gems | 16.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable | 10.0% | $26K 40,000 gems | 16.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New)gloves · legendary | 10.0% | $25.8K 39,721 gems | 16.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)weapon · classified | 10.0% | $1,620 2,492 gems | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Field-Tested)gloves · sunny | 10.0% | $454 699 gems | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Stiletto Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covert | 15.0% | $246 379 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New)weapon · covert | 15.0% | $97.49 150 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 12 Nov, 12:30 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
No history yet
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $17.4K | 90.00% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 42.0%legendary 28.0%remarkable 10.0%classified 10.0%sunny 10.0%