Eye of the Tiger
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$90.16
139 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $81.14 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
85.41%
207 openings, odds method
Variance
3.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 263 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert | 1 in 100 | $1,037 1,595 gems | 12.8% | 0 | 2.6 | 0.00× |
| ★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert | 1 in 25 | $688 1,058 gems | 33.9% | 10 | 10.5 | 0.95× |
| ★ Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert | 1 in 20 | $303 467 gems | 18.7% | 17 | 13.1 | 1.29× |
| AWP | Silk Tiger (Factory New)weapon · #d32ee6 | 10.0% | $163 251 gems | 20.1% | 26 | 26.3 | 0.99× |
| ★ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert | 10.0% | $97.92 151 gems | 12.1% | 30 | 26.3 | 1.14× |
| P90 | Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 1 in 100 | $31.25 48.08 gems | 0.4% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.14× |
| P250 | Bengal Tiger (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff | 1 in 11 | $13.55 20.84 gems | 1.5% | 31 | 23.7 | 1.31× |
| AUG | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified | 10.0% | $4.43 6.81 gems | 0.5% | 24 | 26.3 | 0.91× |
| Sticker | Toy Tigersticker · Rare | 50.0% | $0.05 0.07 gems | 0.0% | 122 | 131.5 | 0.93× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 12 Nov, 12:30 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $90.16 | 90.00% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 21.0%#d32ee6 10.0%#4b69ff 9.0%classified 10.0%Rare 50.0%best hit $688 (7.63x)