Famas Feast
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$5.94
9.14 gems
Advertised RTP
89.98%
EV $5.35 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.41%
1,404 openings, odds method
Variance
0.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
30.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
55.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,428 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 20 | $16.40 25.23 gems | 15.3% | 64 | 71.4 | 0.90× |
| FAMAS | Contrast Spray (Factory New)weapon · consumer | 1 in 20 | $14.65 22.54 gems | 13.7% | 84 | 71.4 | 1.18× |
| FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New)weapon · covert | 10.0% | $9.74 14.98 gems | 18.2% | 130 | 142.8 | 0.91× |
| FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New)weapon · classified | 10.0% | $6.99 10.75 gems | 13.1% | 141 | 142.8 | 0.99× |
| FAMAS | Djinn (Factory New)weapon · classified | 15.0% | $5.98 9.2 gems | 16.8% | 215 | 214.2 | 1.00× |
| FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New)weapon · Legendary | 1 in 20 | $4.15 6.39 gems | 3.9% | 79 | 71.4 | 1.11× |
| FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 20 | $3.82 5.88 gems | 3.6% | 68 | 71.4 | 0.95× |
| FAMAS | Hexane (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 45.0% | $1.83 2.82 gems | 15.4% | 647 | 642.6 | 1.01× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.98%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $5.94 | 89.98% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 15.0%consumer 5.0%classified 25.0%Legendary 5.0%mil spec 50.0%best hit —