Price
$1.52
2.34 gems
Advertised RTP
89.69%
EV $1.36 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.47%
20.6K openings, odds method
Variance
12.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 44
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 20.9K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 12 Nov, 12:30 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.69%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $1.52 | 89.69% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed7 40.0%Sticker 0.3%Ancient 0.5%other 2.5%Patch 1.0%Legendary 2.0%remarkable 3.0%Mythical 40.8%Exotic 10.0%best hit —