Price
$126.35
194 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $113.72 from 11 items
Observed RTP, 30d
109.02%
33 openings, odds method
Variance
1.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 33 openings and 6.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 33 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary$126194 gems$95.06146 gems0.75x
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinaryHydra Sharp$126194 gems$483743 gems3.82x
★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary$126194 gems$95.06146 gems0.75x
★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinaryHydra Sharp$126194 gems$95.06146 gems0.75x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $126 | 90.00% | 11 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 55.0%Extraordinary 45.0%best hit —