Fire Fight

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$3.25
5 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
99.64%
2,644 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
258 openings · below min
7 days
113.61%±38.471,979 openings
30 days
99.64%±29.432,644 openings
since tracking started
99.64%±29.432,644 openings
49.5%201.2%353.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h258201.16%±151.1—sample
7d1,979113.61%±38.5—sample
30d2,64499.64%±29.4—sample
All2,64499.64%±29.4—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Karambit | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$3.255 gems$568874 gems174.9x
★ Karambit | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$3.255 gems$568874 gems174.9x
★ Karambit | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$3.255 gems$568874 gems174.9x
M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · classified$3.255 gems$440677 gems135.4x
AUG | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$3.255 gems$187288 gems57.65x
AUG | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$3.255 gems$187288 gems57.65x
AUG | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$3.255 gems$187288 gems57.65x
AUG | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$3.255 gems$187288 gems57.65x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Non-Vegsticker · #D2D2D2$3.255 gems$0.080.13 gems0.03x
Sticker | Non-Vegsticker · #D2D2D2$3.255 gems$0.080.13 gems0.03x
Sticker | Non-Vegsticker · #D2D2D2$3.255 gems$0.080.13 gems0.03x
Sticker | Non-Vegsticker · #D2D2D2$3.255 gems$0.080.13 gems0.03x
Sticker | Non-Vegsticker · #D2D2D2$3.255 gems$0.080.13 gems0.03x
Sticker | Non-Vegsticker · #D2D2D2$3.255 gems$0.080.13 gems0.03x
Sticker | Non-Vegsticker · #D2D2D2$3.255 gems$0.080.13 gems0.03x
Sticker | Non-Vegsticker · #D2D2D2$3.255 gems$0.080.13 gems0.03x
Sticker | Non-Vegsticker · #D2D2D2Rheik1n$3.255 gems$0.080.13 gems0.03x
Sticker | Non-Vegsticker · #D2D2D2$3.255 gems$0.080.13 gems0.03x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $568 (174.9x)