Flip Knife Flip
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$66.02
102 gems
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $59.41 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
83.74%
572 openings, odds method
Variance
1.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
22.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
50.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 572 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny | 1 in 33 | $254 391 gems | 12.8% | 14 | 17.2 | 0.82× |
| ★ Flip Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · sunny | 1 in 14 | $227 349 gems | 26.8% | 33 | 40.0 | 0.82× |
| ★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New)knife · sunny | 12.0% | $117 180 gems | 23.6% | 65 | 68.6 | 0.95× |
| ★ Flip Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)knife · #ffd700 | 13.0% | $79.69 123 gems | 17.4% | 80 | 74.4 | 1.08× |
| ★ Flip Knife | Night (Well-Worn)knife · covert | 15.0% | $76.26 117 gems | 19.3% | 86 | 85.8 | 1.00× |
| MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New)weapon · Rare | 50.0% | $0.16 0.24 gems | 0.1% | 294 | 286.0 | 1.03× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $66.02 | 89.99% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedsunny 22.0%#ffd700 13.0%covert 15.0%Rare 50.0%best hit —