Gas Mask
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$14.39
22.14 gems
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $12.95 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.65%
884 openings, odds method
Variance
1.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
30.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 886 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New)weapon · classified | 30.0% | $39.88 61.36 gems | 92.4% | 271 | 265.8 | 1.02× |
| CZ75-Auto | Poison Dart (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 10.0% | $2.96 4.56 gems | 2.3% | 95 | 88.6 | 1.07× |
| P250 | Bone Mask (Factory New)weapon · consumer | 10.0% | $2.52 3.87 gems | 1.9% | 89 | 88.6 | 1.00× |
| Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 10.0% | $1.24 1.91 gems | 1.0% | 86 | 88.6 | 0.97× |
| MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 10.0% | $1.16 1.79 gems | 0.9% | 82 | 88.6 | 0.93× |
| XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New)weapon · Mythical | 10.0% | $1.10 1.69 gems | 0.8% | 95 | 88.6 | 1.07× |
| MP9 | Deadly Poison (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 10.0% | $0.79 1.22 gems | 0.6% | 94 | 88.6 | 1.06× |
| R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New)weapon · #B0C3D9 | 10.0% | $0.07 0.11 gems | 0.1% | 74 | 88.6 | 0.84× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New)weapon · MythicalIt Be Like That$14.3922.14 gems$1.101.69 gems0.08x
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New)weapon · classifiedJACK HARTWIG$14.3922.14 gems$39.8861.36 gems2.77x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $14.39 | 89.99% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 30.0%mil spec 30.0%consumer 10.0%restricted 10.0%Mythical 10.0%#B0C3D9 10.0%best hit —