Gem Shuffle

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$3.25
5 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
83.12%
5,822 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
544 openings · below min
7 days
80.96%±15.294,973 openings
30 days
83.12%±14.985,822 openings
since tracking started
83.12%±14.985,822 openings
55.0%87.3%119.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h54487.26%±31.4—sample
7d4,97380.96%±15.3—sample
30d5,82283.12%±15.0—sample
All5,82283.12%±15.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A4 | Poseidon (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$3.255 gems$632972 gems194.3x
M4A4 | Poseidon (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$3.255 gems$632972 gems194.3x
M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Factory New)weapon · restricted$3.255 gems$380584 gems116.9x
M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Factory New)weapon · restricted$3.255 gems$380584 gems116.9x

Latest dropsnewest first

Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare$3.255 gems$0.060.09 gems0.02x
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare$3.255 gems$0.060.09 gems0.02x
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare$3.255 gems$0.060.09 gems0.02x
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare$3.255 gems$0.060.09 gems0.02x
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare$3.255 gems$0.060.09 gems0.02x
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare3rush$3.255 gems$0.060.09 gems0.02x
UMP-45 | Scaffold (Factory New)weapon · restricted$3.255 gems$1.221.88 gems0.38x
Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New)weapon · restricted$3.255 gems$3.705.69 gems1.14x
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare$3.255 gems$0.060.09 gems0.02x
UMP-45 | Scaffold (Factory New)weapon · restricted$3.255 gems$1.221.88 gems0.38x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $632 (194.3x)