GG 2 EZ

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$13.98
21.51 gems
Advertised RTP
89.97%
EV $12.58 from 11 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.13%
1,132 openings, odds method
Variance
4.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
86.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
99.38%±28.90221 openings
7 days
88.84%±13.271,048 openings
30 days
87.13%±12.771,132 openings
since tracking started
87.13%±12.771,132 openings
70.0%99.5%129.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h22199.38%±28.9+0.6σodds
7d1,04888.84%±13.3−0.2σodds
30d1,13287.13%±12.8−0.4σodds
All1,13287.13%±12.8−0.4σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,166 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
XM1014 | Blaze Orange (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 25$146 225 gems46.5%4246.60.90×
Sawed-Off | Copper (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 25$67.56 104 gems21.5%4046.60.86×
StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 17$27.12 41.72 gems12.9%8570.01.21×
MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 17$11.02 16.96 gems5.3%7070.01.00×
Nova | Antique (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 17$6.52 10.03 gems3.1%8270.01.17×
MAC-10 | Tatter (Factory New)weapon · violet12.0%$5.62 8.64 gems5.4%153139.91.09×
MP9 | Old Roots (Factory New)weapon · Uncommon12.0%$2.81 4.32 gems2.7%135139.90.96×
P90 | Virus (Factory New)weapon · violet12.0%$1.76 2.71 gems1.7%128139.90.91×
PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New)weapon · restricted12.0%$0.69 1.06 gems0.7%131139.90.94×
MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New)weapon · mil spec12.0%$0.23 0.36 gems0.2%139139.90.99×
MP7 | Urban Hazard (Factory New)weapon · mil spec14.0%$0.10 0.16 gems0.1%161163.30.99×
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

XM1014 | Blaze Orange (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$13.9821.51 gems$146225 gems10.46x
MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$13.9821.51 gems$0.230.36 gems0.02x
MP9 | Old Roots (Factory New)weapon · Uncommon$13.9821.51 gems$2.814.32 gems0.20x
MP9 | Old Roots (Factory New)weapon · Uncommon$13.9821.51 gems$2.814.32 gems0.20x
PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New)weapon · restricted$13.9821.51 gems$0.691.06 gems0.05x
PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New)weapon · restrictedTTHD$13.9821.51 gems$0.691.06 gems0.05x
P90 | Virus (Factory New)weapon · violet$13.9821.51 gems$1.762.71 gems0.13x
MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$13.9821.51 gems$11.0216.96 gems0.79x
MAC-10 | Tatter (Factory New)weapon · violet$13.9821.51 gems$5.628.64 gems0.40x
PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New)weapon · restricted$13.9821.51 gems$0.691.06 gems0.05x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.97%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 02:04 UTC$13.9889.97%11
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedmil spec 34.0%classified 12.0%restricted 18.0%violet 24.0%Uncommon 12.0%best hit —