Giant 50/50
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$72.38
111 gems
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $65.14 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.30%
326 openings, odds method
Variance
0.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
30.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
50.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 326 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P90 | Astral Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted | 1 in 20 | $165 254 gems | 12.7% | 17 | 16.3 | 1.04× |
| StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 20 | $155 239 gems | 11.9% | 16 | 16.3 | 0.98× |
| StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Dragon Tattoo (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted | 10.0% | $134 206 gems | 20.6% | 36 | 32.6 | 1.10× |
| AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 10.0% | $124 191 gems | 19.1% | 28 | 32.6 | 0.86× |
| StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 20.0% | $109 168 gems | 33.4% | 64 | 65.2 | 0.98× |
| M4A4 | Tornado (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial | 15.0% | $5.65 8.7 gems | 1.3% | 52 | 48.9 | 1.06× |
| FAMAS | Hexane (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 15.0% | $2.51 3.86 gems | 0.6% | 48 | 48.9 | 0.98× |
| FAMAS | Valence (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted | 20.0% | $1.51 2.32 gems | 0.5% | 65 | 65.2 | 1.00× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$72.38111 gems$109168 gems1.50x
FAMAS | Hexane (Factory New)weapon · mil specFarelEnergy skinbet.gg$72.38111 gems$2.513.86 gems0.03x
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$72.38111 gems$109168 gems1.50x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Dragon Tattoo (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$72.38111 gems$134206 gems1.85x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $72.38 | 89.99% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 35.0%covert 35.0%industrial 15.0%mil spec 15.0%best hit —