Glove Case
A case on Clash.gg (cs2), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$8.07
12.41 gems
Advertised RTP
89.93%
EV $7.25 from 41 items
Observed RTP, 30d
55.92%
5,986 openings, odds method
Variance
903.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 2,500
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
99.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 5,986 openings and 2.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values41 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,097 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$8.0712.41 gems$7,75611,933 gems961.6x
★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$8.0712.41 gems$1,3112,017 gems162.5x
★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave (Factory New)gloves · legendary$8.0712.41 gems$1,2341,898 gems152.9x
★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter (Factory New)gloves · extraordinarylukeNzi$8.0712.41 gems$9841,513 gems121.9x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.93%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $8.07 | 89.93% | 41 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 0.1%legendary 0.1%Extraordinary 0.0%#eb4b4b 0.0%covert 0.6%Legendary 2.1%classified 1.1%restricted 3.2%Mythical 9.6%Restricted 3.2%Rare 45.7%mil spec 34.3%best hit $8,651 (1,073x)