Glove Flip
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$180.99
278 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $162.90 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
77.02%
27 openings, odds method
Variance
1.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
18.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
60.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 27 openings and 4.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 27 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 50 | $608 936 gems | 7.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| ★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 50 | $573 881 gems | 7.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| ★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe (Factory New)gloves · legendary | 1 in 25 | $502 772 gems | 12.3% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.85× |
| ★ Moto Gloves | Transport (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 25 | $483 743 gems | 11.9% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded (Factory New)gloves · legendary | 1 in 17 | $418 643 gems | 15.4% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| ★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 17 | $332 510 gems | 12.2% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.85× |
| ★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor (Factory New)gloves · Extraordinary | 1 in 13 | $239 367 gems | 11.7% | 3 | 2.2 | 1.39× |
| ★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 13 | $237 365 gems | 11.7% | 3 | 2.2 | 1.39× |
| ★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 10.0% | $168 259 gems | 10.3% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.74× |
| P250 | Sand Dune (Factory New)weapon · consumer | 50.0% | $0.06 0.09 gems | 0.0% | 14 | 13.5 | 1.04× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor (Factory New)gloves · ExtraordinaryKic***rds$181278 gems$239367 gems1.32x
★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company (Factory New)gloves · extraordinaryKic***rds$181278 gems$332510 gems1.83x
★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company (Factory New)gloves · extraordinaryKic***rds$181278 gems$332510 gems1.83x
★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor (Factory New)gloves · ExtraordinaryKic***rds$181278 gems$239367 gems1.32x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $181 | 90.00% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 32.0%legendary 10.0%Extraordinary 8.0%consumer 50.0%best hit $502 (2.77x)