Price
$8.28
12.74 gems
Advertised RTP
89.93%
EV $7.45 from 15 items
Observed RTP, 30d
97.40%
977 openings, odds method
Variance
1.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,016 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Factory New)weapon · restrictedAngerfist | Dean$8.2812.74 gems$2.223.41 gems0.27x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.93%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $8.28 | 89.93% | 15 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 50.3%covert 26.8%#eb4b4b 3.0%Legendary 5.0%restricted 15.0%best hit —