Gold & Cologne

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$68.03
105 gems
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $61.22 from 13 items
Observed RTP, 30d
82.37%
369 openings, odds method
Variance
1.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
21 openings · below min
7 days
82.68%±11.43343 openings
30 days
82.37%±11.02369 openings
since tracking started
82.37%±11.02369 openings
56.0%102.8%149.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h21102.68%±46.2—odds
7d34382.68%±11.4−1.3σodds
30d36982.37%±11.0−1.4σodds
All36982.37%±11.0−1.4σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 369 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Sticker | Falcons (Gold) | Cologne 2026sticker1 in 40$377 580 gems15.4%69.20.65×
Sticker | Team Spirit (Gold) | Cologne 2026sticker1 in 40$260 400 gems10.6%99.20.98×
Sticker | FlyQuest (Gold) | Cologne 2026sticker1 in 40$192 296 gems7.9%99.20.98×
Sticker | THUNDERdOWNUNDER (Gold) | Cologne 2026sticker1 in 40$166 255 gems6.8%119.21.19×
Sticker | NiKo (Gold) | Cologne 2026sticker · Ancient1 in 20$116 179 gems9.5%1118.40.60×
Sticker | Lynn Vision (Gold) | Cologne 2026sticker1 in 20$96.85 149 gems7.9%2218.41.19×
Sticker | Gaimin Gladiators (Gold) | Cologne 2026sticker1 in 20$77.35 119 gems6.3%1118.40.60×
Sticker | paiN Gaming (Gold) | Cologne 2026sticker1 in 20$59.77 91.96 gems4.9%2118.41.14×
Sticker | MOUZ (Gold) | Cologne 2026sticker10.0%$46.84 72.06 gems7.7%3136.90.84×
Sticker | NRG (Gold) | Cologne 2026sticker15.0%$43.88 67.51 gems10.8%5955.41.07×
Sticker | ZywOo (Gold) | Cologne 2026sticker · Ancient15.0%$26.18 40.27 gems6.4%5555.40.99×
Sticker | BIG (Gold, Ranked) | Cologne 2026sticker15.0%$17.26 26.55 gems4.2%6455.41.16×
Sticker | m0NESY (Gold, Ranked) | Cologne 2026sticker15.0%$6.97 10.73 gems1.7%6055.41.08×
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 12 Nov, 06:20 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | NRG (Gold) | Cologne 2026sticker$68.03105 gems$43.8867.51 gems0.65x
Sticker | BIG (Gold, Ranked) | Cologne 2026sticker$68.03105 gems$17.2626.55 gems0.25x
Sticker | NRG (Gold) | Cologne 2026sticker$68.03105 gems$43.8867.51 gems0.65x
Sticker | MOUZ (Gold) | Cologne 2026sticker$68.03105 gems$46.8472.06 gems0.69x
Sticker | ZywOo (Gold) | Cologne 2026sticker · Ancient$68.03105 gems$26.1840.27 gems0.38x
Sticker | THUNDERdOWNUNDER (Gold) | Cologne 2026sticker$68.03105 gems$166255 gems2.44x
Sticker | BIG (Gold, Ranked) | Cologne 2026sticker$68.03105 gems$17.2626.55 gems0.25x
Sticker | BIG (Gold, Ranked) | Cologne 2026sticker$68.03105 gems$17.2626.55 gems0.25x
Sticker | ZywOo (Gold) | Cologne 2026sticker · Ancient$68.03105 gems$26.1840.27 gems0.38x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 02:04 UTC$68.0389.99%13
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 80.0%Ancient 20.0%best hit —