Graphic Pass
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$22.81
35.09 gems
Advertised RTP
89.98%
EV $20.52 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
75.04%
923 openings, odds method
Variance
8.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 20
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
86.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 923 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested)weapon · uncommon$22.8135.09 gems$3.956.08 gems0.17x
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested)weapon · uncommon$22.8135.09 gems$3.956.08 gems0.17x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.98%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $22.81 | 89.98% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.7%rare 13.3%violet 7.5%uncommon 28.0%blue 13.0%#5e98d9 37.5%best hit $679 (29.78x)