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A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$2.05
3.15 gems
Advertised RTP
89.91%
EV $1.84 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.32%
9,128 openings, odds method
Variance
6.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9,194 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $2.05 | 89.91% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 4.0%classified 1.0%mil spec 21.0%industrial 28.0%#4b69ff 5.0%#8847ff 6.0%Rare 10.0%Uncommon 25.0%best hit —