Green Crystals
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$84.49
130 gems
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $76.03 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
78.17%
156 openings, odds method
Variance
5.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
60.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 156 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny | 1 in 1,000 | $5,514 8,483 gems | 7.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 34 | $422 649 gems | 16.1% | 3 | 4.5 | 0.66× |
| P250 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 17.0% | $144 222 gems | 32.2% | 29 | 26.5 | 1.09× |
| Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted | 20.0% | $110 170 gems | 29.0% | 28 | 31.2 | 0.90× |
| USP-S | Overgrowth (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted | 10.0% | $37.20 57.23 gems | 4.9% | 9 | 15.6 | 0.58× |
| Souvenir Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · restricted | 10.0% | $25.21 38.78 gems | 3.3% | 20 | 15.6 | 1.28× |
| Galil AR | Eco (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified | 15.0% | $15.13 23.27 gems | 3.0% | 30 | 23.4 | 1.28× |
| Souvenir AK-47 | Green Laminate (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec | 25.0% | $12.77 19.64 gems | 4.2% | 37 | 39.0 | 0.95× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir AK-47 | Green Laminate (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec$84.49130 gems$12.7719.64 gems0.15x
Souvenir Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$84.49130 gems$25.2138.78 gems0.30x
Souvenir AK-47 | Green Laminate (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec$84.49130 gems$12.7719.64 gems0.15x
Souvenir AK-47 | Green Laminate (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · mil specnews$84.49130 gems$12.7719.64 gems0.15x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $84.49 | 89.99% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedsunny 0.1%extraordinary 2.9%restricted 57.0%classified 15.0%mil spec 25.0%best hit —