Green Screen
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$11.17
17.18 gems
Advertised RTP
89.97%
EV $10.05 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
97.94%
1,989 openings, odds method
Variance
7.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 19
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
94.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,001 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted | 1 in 200 | $302 464 gems | 15.0% | 14 | 10.0 | 1.40× |
| ★ Moto Gloves | Turtle (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 200 | $266 409 gems | 13.2% | 10 | 10.0 | 1.00× |
| AWP | Containment Breach (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 1 in 80 | $116 179 gems | 14.5% | 33 | 25.0 | 1.32× |
| AK-47 | Green Laminate (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 33 | $40.35 62.07 gems | 12.0% | 63 | 60.0 | 1.05× |
| Sticker | Entropiq (Holo) | Stockholm 2021sticker · #8847ff | 1 in 20 | $10.89 16.75 gems | 5.4% | 100 | 100.1 | 1.00× |
| Nova | Green Apple (Minimal Wear)weapon · Industrial Grade | 1 in 10 | $9.43 14.5 gems | 9.1% | 164 | 195.1 | 0.84× |
| Sticker | FlyQuest (Holo) | Austin 2025sticker · Legendary | 12.5% | $5.40 8.31 gems | 6.7% | 243 | 250.1 | 0.97× |
| Sticker | Falcons (Holo) | Austin 2025sticker · Legendary | 12.5% | $4.50 6.93 gems | 5.6% | 263 | 250.1 | 1.05× |
| USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff | 25.0% | $4.10 6.31 gems | 10.2% | 504 | 500.3 | 1.01× |
| MP9 | Hydra (Field-Tested)weapon · pink | 30.0% | $2.72 4.19 gems | 8.1% | 607 | 600.3 | 1.01× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Sticker | FlyQuest (Holo) | Austin 2025sticker · Legendarywarrior$11.1717.18 gems$5.408.31 gems0.48x
Sticker | Falcons (Holo) | Austin 2025sticker · Legendaryrendeto1$11.1717.18 gems$4.506.93 gems0.40x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.97%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $11.17 | 89.97% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 0.5%extraordinary 0.5%covert 1.3%mil spec 3.0%#8847ff 5.0%Industrial Grade 9.8%Legendary 25.0%#4b69ff 25.0%pink 30.0%best hit —