group 6 3% big prof

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$8.36
12.86 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
586.00%
30 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
30 openings · below min
30 days
30 openings · below min
since tracking started
30 openings · below min
-0.5%610.0%1220.5%

Small sample. 30 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d30586.00%±633.8—sample
30d30586.00%±633.8—sample
All30586.00%±633.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · covert knife$8.3612.86 gems$571879 gems68.35x
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · covert knife$8.3612.86 gems$571879 gems68.35x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | noway | Copenhagen 2024sticker · Rare$8.3612.86 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Sticker | noway | Copenhagen 2024sticker · Rare$8.3612.86 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Sticker | noway | Copenhagen 2024sticker · Rare$8.3612.86 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Sticker | noway | Copenhagen 2024sticker · Rare$8.3612.86 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · covert knife$8.3612.86 gems$571879 gems68.35x
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · covert knife$8.3612.86 gems$571879 gems68.35x
Sticker | noway | Copenhagen 2024sticker · Rare$8.3612.86 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny$8.3612.86 gems$137211 gems16.38x
★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert$8.3612.86 gems$190292 gems22.69x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $571 (68.35x)