Growler
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$20.89
32.14 gems
Advertised RTP
89.98%
EV $18.80 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
93.35%
3,371 openings, odds method
Variance
16.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 47
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
93.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,589 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covertFarelEnergy skinbet.gg$20.8932.14 gems$8291,276 gems39.69x
★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covertcertified boogeyman$20.8932.14 gems$8291,276 gems39.69x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.98%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $20.89 | 89.98% | 16 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 3.9%extraordinary 0.3%gold 1.0%classified 6.0%#4b69ff 5.0%industrial 38.8%mil spec 10.0%Rare 35.0%best hit $829 (39.69x)