GUARANTEED 10% Knife
A case on Clash.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$7.85
12.08 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
88.27%
17.6K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covertmatreikis$7.8512.08 gems$6881,059 gems87.63x
★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covertFortune98pm$7.8512.08 gems$6881,059 gems87.63x
★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · EmeraldSudainais$7.8512.08 gems$539830 gems68.71x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · EmeraldSudainais$7.8512.08 gems$539830 gems68.71x
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New)weapon · RareValentinobond$7.8512.08 gems$0.110.17 gems0.01x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $688 (87.63x)