High Capacity
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$16.03
24.66 gems
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $14.42 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.07%
1,086 openings, odds method
Variance
0.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
35.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
60.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,254 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified | 1 in 33 | $71.81 110 gems | 14.9% | 37 | 37.6 | 0.98× |
| StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 14 | $28.93 44.51 gems | 14.0% | 88 | 87.8 | 1.00× |
| P90 | Asiimov (Factory New)weapon · covert | 10.0% | $23.14 35.6 gems | 16.0% | 138 | 125.4 | 1.10× |
| Tec-9 | Decimator (Factory New)weapon · classified | 15.0% | $20.66 31.79 gems | 21.5% | 177 | 188.1 | 0.94× |
| Negev | Power Loader (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff | 1 in 20 | $17.45 26.84 gems | 6.0% | 65 | 62.7 | 1.04× |
| M249 | Shipping Forecast (Factory New)weapon · #87c7ff | 10.0% | $9.65 14.85 gems | 6.7% | 126 | 125.4 | 1.00× |
| PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New)weapon · classified | 50.0% | $5.99 9.21 gems | 20.8% | 623 | 627.0 | 0.99× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New)weapon · classifiedRango Sheriff Of LARP$16.0324.66 gems$5.999.21 gems0.37x
Tec-9 | Decimator (Factory New)weapon · classifiedGustavo Fring$16.0324.66 gems$20.6631.79 gems1.29x
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$16.0324.66 gems$28.9344.51 gems1.80x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $16.03 | 89.99% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 68.0%covert 17.0%#8847ff 5.0%#87c7ff 10.0%best hit —