Howl Abuser
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$190.79
294 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $171.71 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
97.31%
673 openings, odds method
Variance
9.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 33
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
92.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 709 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)weapon · contraband | 1 in 100 | $4,175 6,423 gems | 24.3% | 10 | 7.1 | 1.41× |
| M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear)weapon · contraband | 1 in 100 | $2,790 4,292 gems | 16.2% | 7 | 7.1 | 0.99× |
| M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested)weapon · contraband | 1 in 100 | $1,997 3,072 gems | 11.6% | 6 | 7.1 | 0.85× |
| M4A4 | Howl (Well-Worn)weapon · contraband | 1 in 20 | $1,189 1,829 gems | 34.6% | 38 | 35.4 | 1.07× |
| StatTrak™ AK-47 | Leet Museo (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 46.0% | $39.68 61.04 gems | 10.6% | 333 | 326.1 | 1.02× |
| M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 46.0% | $9.60 14.77 gems | 2.6% | 315 | 326.1 | 0.97× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Leet Museo (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$191294 gems$39.6861.04 gems0.21x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Leet Museo (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$191294 gems$39.6861.04 gems0.21x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Leet Museo (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$191294 gems$39.6861.04 gems0.21x
M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertFarelEnergy skinbet.gg$191294 gems$9.6014.77 gems0.05x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Leet Museo (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$191294 gems$39.6861.04 gems0.21x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Leet Museo (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$191294 gems$39.6861.04 gems0.21x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $191 | 90.00% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcontraband 8.0%covert 92.0%best hit $4,175 (21.88x)