Howl Flip
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$1,577.65
2,427 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $1,419.88 from 4 items
Observed RTP, 30d
97.30%
9 openings, odds method
Variance
0.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
50.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
50.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 9 openings and 4.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)weapon · contraband | 10.0% | $4,188 6,443 gems | 29.5% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear)weapon · contraband | 10.0% | $2,790 4,292 gems | 19.6% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested)weapon · contraband | 30.0% | $2,406 3,702 gems | 50.8% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.48× |
| Glock-18 | Clear Polymer (Factory New)weapon · milspec | 50.0% | $0.44 0.67 gems | 0.0% | 4 | 4.5 | 0.89× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $1,578 | 90.00% | 4 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcontraband 50.0%milspec 50.0%best hit $4,188 (2.65x)