Hunter
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$95.47
147 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $85.93 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
56.34%
96 openings, odds method
Variance
3.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 96 openings and 9.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 104 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Huntsman Knife | Scorched (Factory New)knife · #ffd700 | 10.0% | $616 948 gems | 71.7% | 9 | 10.4 | 0.87× |
| ★ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New)knife · sunny | 10.0% | $206 316 gems | 23.9% | 8 | 10.4 | 0.77× |
| P250 | Modern Hunter (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec | 20.0% | $6.99 10.76 gems | 1.6% | 21 | 20.8 | 1.01× |
| Nova | Modern Hunter (Battle-Scarred)weapon · 1 | 20.0% | $5.91 9.09 gems | 1.4% | 28 | 20.8 | 1.35× |
| PP-Bizon | Modern Hunter (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade | 20.0% | $5.69 8.75 gems | 1.3% | 26 | 20.8 | 1.25× |
| G3SG1 | Hunter (Factory New)weapon · blue | 20.0% | $0.16 0.24 gems | 0.0% | 12 | 20.8 | 0.58× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $95.47 | 90.00% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed1 20.0%#ffd700 10.0%sunny 10.0%mil spec 20.0%Mil Spec Grade 20.0%blue 20.0%best hit $616 (6.45x)