Huntsman Weapon Case
A case on Clash.gg (cs2), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$6.59
10.14 gems
Advertised RTP
89.92%
EV $5.93 from 28 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.65%
2,859 openings, odds method
Variance
18.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 26
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
96.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,889 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.92%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $6.59 | 89.92% | 28 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.8%covert knife 0.1%classified 3.2%restricted 12.0%violet 4.0%mil spec 66.6%#4b69ff 13.3%best hit $445 (67.51x)