Hushh

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$40.73
62.66 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $36.66 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
110.64%
194 openings, odds method
Variance
9.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
81.7%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
30 openings · below min
7 days
115.18%±44.66176 openings
30 days
110.64%±42.54194 openings
since tracking started
110.64%±42.54194 openings
-0.5%80.0%160.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h3051.12%±108.2—odds
7d176115.18%±44.7+1.1σodds
30d194110.64%±42.5+1.0σodds
All194110.64%±42.5+1.0σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 194 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 303$1,901 2,925 gems17.1%20.6—
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 303$928 1,428 gems8.4%00.6—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · legendary1 in 149$238 367 gems4.4%01.30.00×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 100$155 239 gems4.2%31.91.55×
USP-S | Whiteout (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 100$149 229 gems4.1%11.90.52×
USP-S | Target Acquired (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 40$89.32 137 gems6.1%44.90.82×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Player Two (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 20$61.75 95 gems8.4%89.70.82×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 13$51.56 79.33 gems10.6%1514.51.03×
USP-S | Orion (Factory New)weapon · classified11.0%$37.11 57.09 gems11.1%2121.30.98×
M4A1-S | Control Panel (Factory New)weapon · Legendary15.7%$20.98 32.28 gems9.0%3530.41.15×
USP-S | Blueprint (Factory New)weapon · mil spec20.0%$17.47 26.88 gems9.5%4038.81.03×
USP-S | Para Green (Field-Tested)weapon · 235.0%$7.51 11.56 gems7.2%6567.90.96×
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)weapon · classified$40.7362.66 gems$1,9012,925 gems46.67x
M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)weapon · classified$40.7362.66 gems$1,9012,925 gems46.67x

Latest dropsnewest first

USP-S | Para Green (Field-Tested)weapon · 2$40.7362.66 gems$7.5111.56 gems0.18x
USP-S | Para Green (Field-Tested)weapon · 2$40.7362.66 gems$7.5111.56 gems0.18x
USP-S | Para Green (Field-Tested)weapon · 2$40.7362.66 gems$7.5111.56 gems0.18x
USP-S | Blueprint (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$40.7362.66 gems$17.4726.88 gems0.43x
USP-S | Blueprint (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$40.7362.66 gems$17.4726.88 gems0.43x
USP-S | Para Green (Field-Tested)weapon · 2rmpgjcksn$40.7362.66 gems$7.5111.56 gems0.18x
USP-S | Blueprint (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$40.7362.66 gems$17.4726.88 gems0.43x
USP-S | Para Green (Field-Tested)weapon · 2$40.7362.66 gems$7.5111.56 gems0.18x
USP-S | Blueprint (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$40.7362.66 gems$17.4726.88 gems0.43x
USP-S | Blueprint (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$40.7362.66 gems$17.4726.88 gems0.43x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 02:04 UTC$40.7390.00%12
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed2 35.0%classified 22.3%covert 6.3%legendary 0.7%Legendary 15.7%mil spec 20.0%best hit $1,901 (46.67x)