Price
$65.00
100 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
1134.65%
126 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 126 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · covert$65.00100 gems$55.8K85,835 gems858.4x
Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$65.00100 gems$26K40,000 gems400.0x
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$65.00100 gems$2,3393,599 gems35.99x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $55.8K (858.4x)