Imperial Assets
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$61.83
95.12 gems
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $55.64 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
79.42%
361 openings, odds method
Variance
3.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 361 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Souvenir AK-47 | AUTOEXEC (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon | 1 in 50 | $678 1,043 gems | 24.4% | 7 | 7.2 | 0.97× |
| AK-47 | Consequence of the Jinn (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 33 | $374 576 gems | 20.2% | 4 | 10.8 | 0.37× |
| M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 20 | $148 227 gems | 13.3% | 12 | 18.1 | 0.66× |
| AK-47 | First Class (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 20 | $127 195 gems | 11.4% | 26 | 18.1 | 1.44× |
| M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 1 in 20 | $75.40 116 gems | 6.8% | 19 | 18.1 | 1.05× |
| M4A1-S | Moss Quartz (Factory New)weapon · industrial | 10.0% | $50.41 77.55 gems | 9.1% | 35 | 36.1 | 0.97× |
| M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New)weapon · classified | 10.0% | $27.68 42.59 gems | 5.0% | 42 | 36.1 | 1.16× |
| USP-S | Business Class (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec | 15.0% | $15.99 24.6 gems | 4.3% | 60 | 54.1 | 1.11× |
| USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Well-Worn)weapon · pink | 20.0% | $10.47 16.1 gems | 3.8% | 70 | 72.2 | 0.97× |
| USP-S | Stainless (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec Grade | 25.0% | $4.26 6.55 gems | 1.9% | 86 | 90.3 | 0.95× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Souvenir AK-47 | AUTOEXEC (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon[MLP] Pinkie Pie$61.8395.12 gems$6781,043 gems10.97x
Latest dropsnewest first
USP-S | Stainless (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec GradeFarelEnergy skinbet.gg$61.8395.12 gems$4.266.55 gems0.07x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $61.83 | 89.99% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 2.0%covert 13.0%restricted 5.0%industrial 10.0%classified 10.0%mil spec 15.0%pink 20.0%Mil Spec Grade 25.0%best hit $678 (10.97x)