INSANE 10% KNIFE

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$24.16
37.17 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
89.27%
5,466 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
972 openings · below min
7 days
87.13%±10.794,512 openings
30 days
89.27%±9.935,466 openings
since tracking started
89.27%±9.935,466 openings
68.0%92.8%117.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h97292.77%±24.2—sample
7d4,51287.13%±10.8—sample
30d5,46689.27%±9.93—sample
All5,46689.27%±9.93—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert$24.1637.17 gems$6911,064 gems28.62x
★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert$24.1637.17 gems$6911,064 gems28.62x
★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert$24.1637.17 gems$6911,064 gems28.62x
★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert$24.1637.17 gems$6911,064 gems28.62x
★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert$24.1637.17 gems$6911,064 gems28.62x
★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert$24.1637.17 gems$6911,064 gems28.62x

Latest dropsnewest first

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New)weapon · Rare$24.1637.17 gems$0.110.17 gems0.00x
★ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert$24.1637.17 gems$58.0789.34 gems2.40x
★ Flip Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$24.1637.17 gems$275423 gems11.38x
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New)weapon · Rare$24.1637.17 gems$0.110.17 gems0.00x
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New)weapon · Rare$24.1637.17 gems$0.110.17 gems0.00x
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New)weapon · Rare$24.1637.17 gems$0.110.17 gems0.00x
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New)weapon · Rare$24.1637.17 gems$0.110.17 gems0.00x
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New)weapon · Rare$24.1637.17 gems$0.110.17 gems0.00x
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New)weapon · Rare$24.1637.17 gems$0.110.17 gems0.00x
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New)weapon · Rare$24.1637.17 gems$0.110.17 gems0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,143 (47.32x)