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JordanR licking toes

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$46.07
70.87 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
181.00%
248 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
34 openings · below min
7 days
206 openings · below min
30 days
248 openings · below min
since tracking started
248 openings · below min
-0.5%160.3%321.0%

Small sample. 248 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h3415.88%±21.6—sample
7d206171.89%±148.6—sample
30d248181.00%±133.9—sample
All248181.00%±133.9—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)weapon · contraband$46.0770.87 gems$4,6927,219 gems101.9x
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested)weapon · coverttaoyz$46.0770.87 gems$3,3775,196 gems73.31x
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$46.0770.87 gems$3,3775,196 gems73.31x
Sticker | kennyS (Gold) | Krakow 2017sticker · extraordinarytaoyz$46.0770.87 gems$2,6654,100 gems57.85x
Sticker | kennyS (Gold) | Krakow 2017sticker · extraordinary$46.0770.87 gems$2,6654,100 gems57.85x
★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$46.0770.87 gems$1,5762,425 gems34.22x
★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · epic$46.0770.87 gems$8321,280 gems18.07x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Sealed Graffiti | Worrygraffiti$46.0770.87 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Worrygraffiti$46.0770.87 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Worrygraffiti$46.0770.87 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Worrygraffiti$46.0770.87 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Worrygraffiti$46.0770.87 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertPudi$46.0770.87 gems$124191 gems2.70x
Sealed Graffiti | Worrygraffiti$46.0770.87 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Worrygraffiti$46.0770.87 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Worrygraffiti$46.0770.87 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | WorrygraffitiFarelEnergy skinbet.gg$46.0770.87 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $4,692 (101.9x)