Juicer
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$4.21
6.47 gems
Advertised RTP
89.94%
EV $3.78 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.75%
9,792 openings, odds method
Variance
15.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 33
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 10.1K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 200 | $222 341 gems | 29.3% | 48 | 50.5 | 0.95× |
| ★ Gut Knife | Night (Minimal Wear)knife · covert | 1 in 100 | $56.41 86.78 gems | 14.9% | 95 | 101.1 | 0.94× |
| StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified | 1 in 67 | $22.18 34.13 gems | 8.8% | 130 | 151.6 | 0.86× |
| USP-S | The Traitor (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 1 in 50 | $15.21 23.4 gems | 8.0% | 210 | 202.2 | 1.04× |
| R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 33 | $6.31 9.7 gems | 5.0% | 310 | 303.2 | 1.02× |
| FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New)weapon · Legendary | 1 in 20 | $4.28 6.58 gems | 5.7% | 492 | 505.4 | 0.97× |
| M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested)weapon · classified | 10.0% | $3.07 4.73 gems | 8.1% | 1,046 | 1010.8 | 1.03× |
| MAC-10 | Toybox (Field-Tested)weapon · pink | 10.0% | $1.78 2.74 gems | 4.7% | 1,063 | 1010.8 | 1.05× |
| Tec-9 | Avalanche (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted | 30.0% | $1.04 1.6 gems | 8.2% | 2,997 | 3032.4 | 0.99× |
| USP-S | Flashback (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 37.0% | $0.73 1.13 gems | 7.2% | 3,717 | 3740.0 | 0.99× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.94%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $4.21 | 89.94% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 12.0%covert 6.0%Legendary 5.0%pink 10.0%restricted 67.0%best hit $222 (52.74x)