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juicy 10$ 5%

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$7.44
11.45 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
108.75%
448 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
114 openings · below min
7 days
402 openings · below min
30 days
448 openings · below min
since tracking started
448 openings · below min
18.5%181.8%345.0%

Small sample. 448 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h114181.81%±162.6—sample
7d402119.57%±63.5—sample
30d448108.75%±57.1—sample
All448108.75%±57.1—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Karambit | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$7.4411.45 gems$568874 gems76.36x
★ Karambit | Scorched (Factory New)knife · covert knife$7.4411.45 gems$495761 gems66.49x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$7.4411.45 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$7.4411.45 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$7.4411.45 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumerSudainais$7.4411.45 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$7.4411.45 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$7.4411.45 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$7.4411.45 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumerSudainais$7.4411.45 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$7.4411.45 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$7.4411.45 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $568 (76.36x)