kapekala-hunter

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.16
0.25 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
147.70%
540 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
540 openings · below min
30 days
540 openings · below min
since tracking started
540 openings · below min
20.5%147.8%275.0%

Small sample. 540 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d540147.70%±126.6—sample
30d540147.70%±126.6—sample
All540147.70%±126.6—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Gut Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert$0.160.25 gems$47.1872.58 gems290.3x
Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Factory New)weapon · restricted$0.160.25 gems$12.2618.86 gems75.44x
M4A1-S | Guardian (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified$0.160.25 gems$10.9816.89 gems67.56x
M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New)weapon · restricted$0.160.25 gems$10.3815.97 gems63.88x
P250 | Gunsmoke (Factory New)weapon · industrial$0.160.25 gems$9.8015.08 gems60.32x
AWP | Sun in Leo (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial$0.160.25 gems$9.2414.21 gems56.84x

Latest dropsnewest first

Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$0.160.25 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.04x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$0.160.25 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.04x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$0.160.25 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.04x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$0.160.25 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.04x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$0.160.25 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.04x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$0.160.25 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.04x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$0.160.25 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.04x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $47.18 (290.3x)