KappaPride

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$154.04
237 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
161.50%
30 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
24 openings · below min
30 days
30 openings · below min
since tracking started
30 openings · below min
-0.5%159.8%320.0%

Small sample. 30 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d2470.88%±112.0—sample
30d30161.50%±157.9—sample
All30161.50%±157.9—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny$154237 gems$2,4753,807 gems16.07x
★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700$154237 gems$2,1253,270 gems13.80x

Latest dropsnewest first

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New)weapon · covert$154237 gems$15.6724.1 gems0.10x
R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New)weapon · covert$154237 gems$15.6724.1 gems0.10x
MP7 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restricted$154237 gems$9.2414.21 gems0.06x
P90 | Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$154237 gems$41.7464.22 gems0.27x
★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700$154237 gems$2,1253,270 gems13.80x
P250 | Visions (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink$154237 gems$2.423.73 gems0.02x
MP7 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restricted$154237 gems$9.2414.21 gems0.06x
MP7 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restricted$154237 gems$9.2414.21 gems0.06x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,475 (16.07x)