Knife 10%

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$15.72
24.18 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
54.34%
174 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
174 openings · below min
7 days
174 openings · below min
30 days
174 openings · below min
since tracking started
174 openings · below min
1.5%54.3%107.0%

Small sample. 174 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h17454.34%±52.0—sample
7d17454.34%±52.0—sample
30d17454.34%±52.0—sample
All17454.34%±52.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covert$15.7224.18 gems$6881,059 gems43.78x

Latest dropsnewest first

PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$15.7224.18 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$15.7224.18 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$15.7224.18 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
★ Flip Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)knife · #ffd700$15.7224.18 gems$79.69123 gems5.07x
PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$15.7224.18 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$15.7224.18 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$15.7224.18 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$15.7224.18 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$15.7224.18 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $688 (43.78x)