KNIFE GUARANTEED 5%!

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$3.25
5 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
169.54%
78 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
66 openings · below min
7 days
66 openings · below min
30 days
78 openings · below min
since tracking started
78 openings · below min
52.0%195.0%338.0%

Small sample. 78 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h66200.33%±137.1—sample
7d66200.33%±137.1—sample
30d78169.54%±117.0—sample
All78169.54%±117.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Sealed Graffiti | Backstabgraffiti$3.255 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Backstabgraffiti$3.255 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Backstabgraffiti$3.255 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Backstabgraffiti$3.255 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Backstabgraffiti$3.255 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | BackstabgraffitiCODE-NAPE$3.255 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
★ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert$3.255 gems$73.70113 gems22.68x
Sealed Graffiti | Backstabgraffiti$3.255 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Backstabgraffiti$3.255 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Backstabgraffiti$3.255 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —