Krabby's 10% m4

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$17.89
27.52 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
89.35%
127 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
121 openings · below min
30 days
127 openings · below min
since tracking started
127 openings · below min
11.5%93.3%175.0%

Small sample. 127 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d12193.49%±81.0—sample
30d12789.35%±77.2—sample
All12789.35%±77.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$17.8927.52 gems$8571,318 gems47.90x

Latest dropsnewest first

M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Factory New)weapon · Rare$17.8927.52 gems$1.051.62 gems0.06x
M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$17.8927.52 gems$15.4123.7 gems0.86x
M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Factory New)weapon · Rare$17.8927.52 gems$1.051.62 gems0.06x
M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Factory New)weapon · Rare$17.8927.52 gems$1.051.62 gems0.06x
M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Factory New)weapon · Raremummo$17.8927.52 gems$1.051.62 gems0.06x
M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Factory New)weapon · Rare$17.8927.52 gems$1.051.62 gems0.06x
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$17.8927.52 gems$8571,318 gems47.90x
M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Factory New)weapon · Rare$17.8927.52 gems$1.051.62 gems0.06x
M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Factory New)weapon · Rare$17.8927.52 gems$1.051.62 gems0.06x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $857 (47.90x)