Kuk Chair

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$50.02
76.96 gems
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $45.02 from 11 items
Observed RTP, 30d
83.34%
1,019 openings, odds method
Variance
10.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 33
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
66 openings · below min
7 days
87.63%±25.54602 openings
30 days
83.34%±19.631,019 openings
since tracking started
83.34%±19.631,019 openings
-0.5%61.5%123.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h6645.52%±77.1—odds
7d60287.63%±25.5−0.2σodds
30d1,01983.34%±19.6−0.7σodds
All1,01983.34%±19.6−0.7σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,070 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Kukri Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 100$1,211 1,863 gems26.9%910.70.84×
★ Kukri Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · Immortal1 in 100$724 1,114 gems16.1%1010.70.93×
★ Kukri Knife | Vanilla (Factory New)knife1 in 100$558 859 gems12.4%510.70.47×
★ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · gold1 in 100$454 699 gems10.1%1010.70.93×
★ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 100$283 435 gems6.3%1310.71.21×
★ Kukri Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 100$228 350 gems5.1%1210.71.12×
★ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 100$195 300 gems4.3%1110.71.03×
★ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · gold1 in 100$177 272 gems3.9%1610.71.50×
★ Kukri Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · Immortal1 in 100$161 247 gems3.6%1410.71.31×
★ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 100$154 237 gems3.4%1410.71.31×
Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet90.0%$3.97 6.11 gems7.9%956963.00.99×
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Kukri Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$50.0276.96 gems$1,2111,863 gems24.20x
★ Kukri Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covertkalu$50.0276.96 gems$1,2111,863 gems24.20x
★ Kukri Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$50.0276.96 gems$1,2111,863 gems24.20x
★ Kukri Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$50.0276.96 gems$1,2111,863 gems24.20x
★ Kukri Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$50.0276.96 gems$1,2111,863 gems24.20x
★ Kukri Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$50.0276.96 gems$1,2111,863 gems24.20x
★ Kukri Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$50.0276.96 gems$1,2111,863 gems24.20x
★ Kukri Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$50.0276.96 gems$1,2111,863 gems24.20x
★ Kukri Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$50.0276.96 gems$1,2111,863 gems24.20x
★ Kukri Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · Immortal$50.0276.96 gems$7241,114 gems14.48x

Latest dropsnewest first

Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet$50.0276.96 gems$3.976.11 gems0.08x
Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet$50.0276.96 gems$3.976.11 gems0.08x
Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet$50.0276.96 gems$3.976.11 gems0.08x
Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet$50.0276.96 gems$3.976.11 gems0.08x
Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet$50.0276.96 gems$3.976.11 gems0.08x
Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet$50.0276.96 gems$3.976.11 gems0.08x
Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet$50.0276.96 gems$3.976.11 gems0.08x
Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet$50.0276.96 gems$3.976.11 gems0.08x
Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet$50.0276.96 gems$3.976.11 gems0.08x
Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet$50.0276.96 gems$3.976.11 gems0.08x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 02:04 UTC$50.0289.99%11
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 2.0%Immortal 2.0%other 1.0%gold 2.0%covert knife 3.0%violet 90.0%best hit $1,211 (24.20x)