L25 1%

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$4.23
6.51 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
157.79%
471 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
232 openings · below min
7 days
441 openings · below min
30 days
471 openings · below min
since tracking started
471 openings · below min
1.5%148.0%294.5%

Small sample. 471 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h232147.95%±145.9—sample
7d441168.35%±107.5—sample
30d471157.79%±100.7—sample
All471157.79%±100.7—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New)weapon · redWallet$4.236.51 gems$506779 gems119.6x
AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New)weapon · red$4.236.51 gems$506779 gems119.6x
★ Stiletto Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covert$4.236.51 gems$246379 gems58.20x
★ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert$4.236.51 gems$235361 gems55.45x

Latest dropsnewest first

AWP | Safari Mesh (Factory New)weapon · Industrial Grade$4.236.51 gems$0.110.17 gems0.03x
AWP | Safari Mesh (Factory New)weapon · Industrial Grade$4.236.51 gems$0.110.17 gems0.03x
AWP | Safari Mesh (Factory New)weapon · Industrial Grade$4.236.51 gems$0.110.17 gems0.03x
AWP | Safari Mesh (Factory New)weapon · Industrial Grade$4.236.51 gems$0.110.17 gems0.03x
AWP | Safari Mesh (Factory New)weapon · Industrial Grade$4.236.51 gems$0.110.17 gems0.03x
AWP | Safari Mesh (Factory New)weapon · Industrial Grade$4.236.51 gems$0.110.17 gems0.03x
AWP | Safari Mesh (Factory New)weapon · Industrial Grade$4.236.51 gems$0.110.17 gems0.03x
AWP | Safari Mesh (Factory New)weapon · Industrial Grade$4.236.51 gems$0.110.17 gems0.03x
AWP | Safari Mesh (Factory New)weapon · Industrial Grade$4.236.51 gems$0.110.17 gems0.03x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $506 (119.6x)