Price
$0.00
0 gems
Advertised RTP
—
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 10,000 | $358 551 gems | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Ursus Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · gold | 1 in 1,111 | $131 202 gems | 11.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)knife · covert | 1 in 250 | $47.30 72.77 gems | 19.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Souvenir USP-S | Royal Blue (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade | 1 in 25 | $7.25 11.16 gems | 29.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade | 1 in 22 | $0.88 1.35 gems | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec | 20.0% | $0.73 1.12 gems | 14.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec | 30.0% | $0.53 0.82 gems | 16.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Field-Tested)weapon · Common | 41.0% | $0.03 0.04 gems | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
No history yet
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $0 | — | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.4%gold 0.1%Industrial Grade 4.0%Mil Spec Grade 4.5%Mil Spec 20.0%mil spec 30.0%Common 41.0%