Loot Drop

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.07
0.1 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
82.27%
282 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
109 openings · below min
7 days
218 openings · below min
30 days
282 openings · below min
since tracking started
282 openings · below min
37.0%83.7%130.5%

Small sample. 282 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h10976.33%±38.5—sample
7d21892.43%±37.3—sample
30d28282.27%±29.8—sample
All28282.27%±29.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$0.070.1 gems$0.250.39 gems3.90x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$0.070.1 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.10x
USP-S | Black Lotus (Well-Worn)weapon · blue$0.070.1 gems$0.520.8 gems8.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$0.070.1 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.10x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$0.070.1 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.10x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$0.070.1 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.10x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$0.070.1 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.10x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$0.070.1 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.10x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —