Lucky Gloves
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.50
0.77 gems
Advertised RTP
89.81%
EV $0.45 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.41%
38.5K openings, odds method
Variance
230.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 667
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
99.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 40K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Fade (Field-Tested)gloves · epic | 1 in 2,000 | $273 420 gems | 30.4% | 19 | 20.0 | 0.95× |
| ★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 1,000 | $107 164 gems | 23.7% | 43 | 40.0 | 1.08× |
| ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 1,000 | $81.31 125 gems | 18.1% | 45 | 40.0 | 1.13× |
| ★ Driver Gloves | Convoy (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 1,000 | $50.19 77.22 gems | 11.2% | 34 | 40.0 | 0.85× |
| AWP | Safari Mesh (Factory New)weapon · Industrial Grade | 50.0% | $0.11 0.17 gems | 12.3% | 19,910 | 19986.3 | 1.00× |
| PP-Bizon | Night Ops (Factory New)weapon · industrial | 49.7% | $0.04 0.06 gems | 4.3% | 19,922 | 19846.8 | 1.00× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.81%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $0.50 | 89.81% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedepic 0.1%extraordinary 0.3%Industrial Grade 50.0%industrial 49.7%best hit $273 (546.0x)