“Make it Rain”

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 8 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$3.25
5 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
318.42%
120 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
90 openings · below min
7 days
120 openings · below min
30 days
120 openings · below min
since tracking started
120 openings · below min
-0.5%363.0%726.5%

Small sample. 120 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h90360.52%±365.3—sample
7d120318.42%±286.0—sample
30d120318.42%±286.0—sample
All120318.42%±286.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$3.255 gems$510784 gems156.8x
★ Falchion Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$3.255 gems$165254 gems50.88x

Latest dropsnewest first

P90 | Sand Spray (Factory New)weapon · Common$3.255 gems$0.040.06 gems0.01x
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$3.255 gems$20.8532.07 gems6.41x
P90 | Sand Spray (Factory New)weapon · Common$3.255 gems$0.040.06 gems0.01x
P90 | Sand Spray (Factory New)weapon · Common$3.255 gems$0.040.06 gems0.01x
P90 | Sand Spray (Factory New)weapon · Common$3.255 gems$0.040.06 gems0.01x
P90 | Sand Spray (Factory New)weapon · Common$3.255 gems$0.040.06 gems0.01x
P90 | Sand Spray (Factory New)weapon · Common$3.255 gems$0.040.06 gems0.01x
P90 | Sand Spray (Factory New)weapon · Common$3.255 gems$0.040.06 gems0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $510 (156.8x)